Pakistan's path in the Asia Cup 2025 has suddenly become complicated. Their seven-wicket defeat to India on Sunday has left them with one win from two matches in Group A.
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India have sealed their spot in the Super 4s after brushing aside both Pakistan and Oman. While Pakistan still have the upper hand to join them, a couple of unlikely but possible twists could see them crash out of the tournament altogether.
Can Pakistan qualify for the Super 4 stage of the Asia Cup 2025?
Yes, Pakistan remain likely to advance. Their net run-rate of +1.649 is comfortably ahead of both Oman and UAE and a win in their last group game would be enough to book their place.
However, there are scenarios where results elsewhere could push them out of contention.
Group A points table
Group A standings (after September 14):
| Team | Mat | Won | Lost | Pts | NRR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +4.793 |
| Pakistan | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1.649 |
| UAE | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2.030 |
| Oman | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.357 |
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What is Pakistan's route for qualification to the Super 4s?
| Date | Opposition | Venue | Result required | Result Achieved |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12 | Oman | Dubai | -- | Won by 93 runs |
| Sep 14 | India | Dubai | -- | Lost by 7 wickets |
| Sep 17 | UAE | Dubai | Win | TBD |
How can Pakistan qualify for Super 4s? Qualification scenario explained
UAE has thrashed Oman by 42 runs in their second league game, making the game against Pakistan on Wednesday a do-or-die encounter
Pakistan needs to beat the UAE in their final group match, and they will progress alongside India. But if they slip up, they will be out of the competition.
Rain is not expected in Dubai over the coming week, making that last scenario less likely.
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What's next for Pakistan?
Pakistan's thumping win over Oman earlier in the group means they retain a net run-rate cushion, but that safety net only works if teams are tied on points. The equation then is simple: Pakistan must beat the UAE to avoid relying on other results.
With India already through, the battle for the second qualification spot promises to keep Group A alive till the very end.
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