We're treated to a classic "divisional rivals meet in the playoffs for the third time" setting for the first primetime matchup in the 2025-26 NFL playoffs.
The NFC North champion and No. 2 seed Chicago Bears (11-6) host the seventh-seeded Green Bay Packers (9-7-1) on Saturday at 8 p.m. ET.
The two clubs split their first pair of games this year, with this rubber match proving highly volatile, especially in early NFL betting odds.
How should gamblers handle odds for this first-round matchup? Keep scrolling to see the clearest paths to bet on Packers-Bears in the Wild Card Playoffs.
Packers vs. Bears betting odds
For this list, I'm using DraftKings Sportsbook odds for Packers-Bears, current as of Saturday at 10 a.m. ET.
I will not necessarily use these odds for finding the best bets on this NFC Wild Card game. (Learn why bettors should use multiple sportsbook apps.)
- Moneyline: Packers (-130) • Bears (+110)
- Spread (ATS): Packers -1.5 (-115) • Bears +1.5 (-105)
- Total: Over 44.5 (-112) • Under 44.5 (-108)
- Implied Point Totals Score: Packers 23, Bears 21.5
The moneyline and spread have see-sawed back and forth aggressively since lines opened up Sunday night (or before then) on DraftKings, FanDuel, and more major outlets.
These latest odds before publish represent a large push toward the Packers.
🏆 MORE: Super Bowl 60 betting odds
Packers vs. Bears best bet
Over 44.5 (-110) • BetMGM Sportsbook / bet365 Sportsbook
Read below for more betting tips on this Bears vs. Packers Over/Under total pick.
Packers vs. Bears predictions and betting angles
More importantly than analyzing betting trends, which are often deployed in betting punditry universally without context, bettors should consider what angles can affect the event action and follow a betting trail from that.
Which game preview guidelines should Bears vs. Packers bettors follow?
Winter weather will have its say
Current forecasts say scattered snow showers with wind gusts, some outlets reporting as high as 35 mph.
While playing in the snow is not ideal, it doesn't appear to be blizzard-like, and these teams based in wintry climates likely won't be deterred too much.
Recent samples from Weeks 14, 16
Many times in these three-game histories, the other matchups came much, much earlier in the season. With the way the schedule fell this season, we have a recent sample size and events to analyze, which should apply to this matchup more appropriately than others.
This head-to-head history should provide more useful information than most others.
Emerging quarterbacks battle for third time this season
Neither Williams nor Love did too much in carrying their teams in the two meetings; however, Love suffered an injury during the Week 16 clash that abruptly ended his day, and he did pass for 3 touchdowns in Week 14.
Outside of maybe Christian Watson lately, Love hasn't had a true alpha target since TE Tucker Kraft (torn ACL) was lost for the season. Williams has a bigger crew of spoils in the pass-catching department.
🎫 MORE: Early NFL Wild Card lines to bet
Will ground games take over?
Both teams could pivot to leaning on their running backs should field conditions or game flow dictate it.
The Packers have battle-tested bellcow Josh Jacobs and up-and-coming, change-of-pace carrier Emanuel Wilson. Chicago boasts an often dynamic tandem of D'Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai.
While this may point toward hammering the Under on the total, both teams have ranked in the bottom half or third in rushing defense for most of the season; the offensive line has the advantage on each side.
This could lead to them tripping into the Over even if it's a run-heavy battle, given the breakaway ability of both backfields.
Will Rome Odunze return for Bears?
This is the one major point in favoring more scoring, despite the run games being capable.
Odunze was in the midst of a breakout sophomore season under Ben Johnson's offense before being limited, and then shut down for five games to end the season, with a stress fracture in his foot.
With a solid 1.77 yards per route run (35th in the league) and 13.9-yards average depth of target (aDOT, ranked 13th), Odunze expands the downfield upside of this offense.
Will Micah Parsons' absence hurt Packers?
The All-Pro pass-rusher was lost to a torn ACL in Week 15. Green Bay defeated Chicago in Week 14 and lost the Bears in Week 16, so that's a telling tale of his impact.
Green Bay logged two sacks in the latter contest but didn't disrupt Williams too much; he went for 250 and 2 through the air.
Packers vs. Bears bet on the Over/Under total
Over 44.5 (-110) • BetMGM Sportsbook / bet365 Sportsbook
Winter conditions we're expecting have pushed this total down from the initial 45.5 or higher, and even if you didn't get closing line value, double down.
This underestimates how much the Bears offense could rebound with Odunze back in the fold. With the recent emergence of two talented rookie pass-catcheres in WR Luther Burden II and TE Colston Loveland to complement DJ Moore, re-injecting Odunze into this fold will give Green Bay plenty of trouble.
Packers vs. Bears moneyline bet
Bears (+110) • DraftKings Sportsbook
Though each side has value, this evenly matched game hadn't presented enough to chase until one side hits +100 or better. The Bears have crossed that line in the past few days.
Packers vs. Bears spread bet (ATS)
LEAN: Bears +1.5 (-105) • DraftKings
I'm more willing to back the Bears as home underdogs with a juice that's more favorable than the traditional (-110) or worse, and if I'm betting Bears moneyline, we'll add this ticket.
Packers vs. Bears props
Kyle Monangai: 60+ Rushing & Receiving Yards (+140) • DraftKings
Odds locked in Saturday, 9 a.m. ET
The likely need to lean on the run game should allow Monangai to get ample work behind 1A option D'Andre Swift. The Bears boast one of the best offensive lines for run blocking this year, per Pro Football Focus, and Green Bay carries a below-average run-stuffing unit.
This can allow the more bruising Monangai (5-foot-8, 207 pounds) to play up the "wintry postseason football" trope and get the rock more than expected.
On that note, I think this can still balance with this longer-shot bet:
Luther Burden: 100+ Receiving Yards (+1100) • BetMGM
Odds locked in Thursday, 8 p.m. ET
Packers vs. Bears weather concerns loom over this and all Bears-Packers bets, but even if snow and rain happen, the value placed on this bet earlier this week was sound.
These teams are used to inclement weather, and Burden's route running in Ben Johnson and Caleb Williams' offense still puts him in position to pile up yardage, even if Rome Odunze (foot) returns as expected.
Packers vs. Bears Anytime TD props
In order, target these touchdown scorer prop bets for Bears-Packers:
- Kyle Monangai (+250) • FanDuel
- Christian Watson (+175) • FanDuel
- Bears defense (+950) • FanDuel
- Rome Odunze (+250) • DraftKings
Packers vs. Bears same game parlay
Bears-Packers SGP (+800) • DraftKings Sportsbook
- Josh Jacobs: 90+ Rushing + Receiving Yards
- D'Andre Swift: 70 Rushing + Receiving Yards
- Caleb Williams: 20+ Rushing Yards
- Luther Burden III: 4+ Receptions
Packers vs. Bears betting trends data
Again, these should not be considered gospel but can help inform betting decisions on the fringes.
- ATS record 2025: Green Bay 7-10 • Bears 10-7
- Over/Under record 2025: Packers 9-8 • Bears 8-8-1
📋 MORE: How sportsbooks set betting lines
Best sportsbooks for Packers vs. Bears bets that may be available in your area
Even if sports betting is legal in your state, not all sportsbooks may be available to you. Here are some of the most popular options to look into:
- DraftKings
- FanDuel
- Fanatics
- BetMGM
- bet365
- Caesars
- theScore Bet
- Hard Rock Bet
- Betr
- BetRivers
🆓 MORE: How to use bonus bets when signing up for a sportsbook
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